A market for your view.
Participant-funded pools. Transparent odds. Verifiable outcomes.
Connect
Connect an EVM wallet on the configured network, or explore with simulated demo credits.
Choose a market
Read the stock token, strike, lock time, price basis, and oracle rules.
Back your view
Deposit collateral on YES or NO. Your stake joins that side of the pool.
Claim your outcome
The oracle settles the market. Winners claim their stake plus a share of the losing pool.
See where your payout comes from.
Odds reflect the share of deposits on each side. FORECAST does not provide liquidity, act as a counterparty, or promise a fixed return.
When a market resolves, the protocol takes a 2% fee from the losing pool. The remainder is distributed proportionally to winning stakes. The winning stake itself is returned in full.
your share × (losing pool − fee)
The calculator assumes you own the entire winning side. Integer rounding always rounds payouts down. Real estimates change until the pool locks.
Try the pool calculator
Good questions. Clear answers.
What happens if only one side has deposits?+
The market cancels at lock. Every participant can claim a full refund. There is no protocol fee, and no house bankroll covers an unmatched pool.
Can I buy both sides?+
Yes. YES and NO stakes are tracked separately. Only your winning-side stake earns a payout; the losing-side stake is lost. Net profit subtracts both stakes.
Can I exit before resolution?+
No. This version has no secondary market, AMM, or early withdrawal. Commit only collateral you are prepared to keep locked until settlement or refund eligibility.
What price decides the result?+
The first eligible on-chain oracle observation at or after resolution, subject to freshness, sequence, trading-pause and sequencer checks. REST bid/ask midpoint quotes are informational only. Production strike prices use USD per stock token, including the feed multiplier.
What if the oracle is unavailable?+
Invalid, stale or late observations are rejected. After the resolution grace period, anyone can cancel the market and participants can pull full refunds. A single-sided pool can cancel as soon as it locks.
Is this an official Robinhood product?+
No. FORECAST is an independent experimental application designed for EVM networks, including Robinhood Chain. It is not affiliated with Robinhood.
Is the demo using real money?+
No. Demo markets, histories, rankings, balances and outcomes are simulated in your browser. Real on-chain mode requires deployed contracts, a wallet, ETH for gas, and approved collateral.